• Derby Picks 2015 Week
• Derby Picks 2015 Nfl
• Derby Dosage
• Derby Picks 2015 Results

May 01, 2015 Saturday’s Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs has a field of 20, but oddsmakers are insisting this is a two-horse race between favorite American Pharoah (5-2 odds) and second choice Dortmund (3-1. Mar 28, 2015 2015 Florida Derby Picks and Analysis - Taking a shot against Upstart Florida Derby-G1 Race 14, Gulfstream Park, Saturday, March 28, 2015 3-Year-Olds, 1 1/8-miles, Dirt, Purse: $1 Million Florida Derby Picks 1. Ami’s Flatter Florida Derby Analysis Note: Be sure to check out Ken’s Louisiana Derby Picks running.

If you’re a bettor, this is the place to read about the sleeper of the Kentucky Derby. Expect for everyone to bet on Bob Baffert’s two horses Dortmund and American Pharoah , leaving room to make money on horses besides the top two. The only horse to give these two a challenge is Simon Callaghan’s Firing Line. His experience in the prep races with Dormund is going to be valuable, and there is no better jockey than Gary Stevens to help guide him to the winners circle. Like last year, the West Coast horses will be the favorites. Here are our top 3 horses of the Kentucky Derby

Derby Picks 2015 Week

American Pharoah (SHOW): American Pharoah will head into the Derby as the morning line favorite at 5-2 with Victor Espinoza on board. Espinoza will look for his second-straight Derby win and trainer Bob Baffert will look for his first win at the Run for the Roses since 2002, where he won it with War Emblem, who was also ridden by Espinoza. American Pharoah has left no doubt that he will be the clear favorite by post time. The only obstacle he will have is history. Not one horse coming out of the No. 17 spot has ever won the Derby. American Pharoah is No. 18, but since Stanford scratched, he will come out of No. 17 spot. Pharaoh will need to come out clean off the gate to get near the rail after the first furlong. He hasn’t had to battle too much, especially after a romp in the Arkansas Derby. This time, he’ll be challenge by the best 3-year-olds in the country.

Dortmund (PLACE): The massive colt Dortmund will look to follow the steps of his sire Big Brown (2008 winner) by winning the 2015 Kentucky Derby. Dortmund has been on a tear, winning all six of his races, including four graded stakes. At the Santa Anita Derby, Dortmund had no challenge whatsoever, but in the two races before the Santa Anita Derby, he had to battle our top pick of the Kentucky Derby, Firing Line. In Las Vegas, people are betting heavily on Dortmund to finish on top of the 2015 Kentucky Derby.

Firing Line (WIN): Third time is a charm! Trained by Simon Callaghan, Firing Line will upset both American Pharoah and Dortmund at the 141 Kentucky Derby. We don’t understand how the only horse who has given Dortmund a challenge is at 12-to-1. In their past two meetings, Firing Line lost to Dormtund by less than a length. People are going to bet on both the favorites so much that Firing Line might get a very attractive price at 20-to-1 or more! To back up this horse even more, Gary Stevens will get the mount. You couldn’t ask for a better jockey for the 3-year-old. Stevens has more experience than any other jockey entered at the Derby. “A lot of these guys weren’t even born when I won my first Kentucky Derby,” said Stevens. If he wins this race with Firing Line, the story lines of a potential Triple Crown will be endless. For the money, it is too hard to not bet on Firing Line.

Below are the starting positions and morning line odds for the 141st Kentucky Derby. My thoughts are that Dortmund got the better draw than Bob Baffert’s other top contender American Pharoah. American Pharoah will have a longer trip starting on the outside. So I would lean towards Dortmund as the race winner. Dortmund stumbled out of the gate in the Santa Anita Derby and he won’t be able to do that in this field. I will probably place a 8-18 Boxed Exacta to be safe.

Derby Picks 2015 Nfl

Some potential sleeper picks are Firing Line, Materiality and the Irish horse Mubtaahij. Mubtaahij won the UAE Derby at 1 3/16 ths mile handily with a time of 1:58.35. You can see this race by clicking HERE. So he was raced at a longer distance than any of the other entrants. I would consider him for your Superfecta but foreign horses usually don’t fare well in the Kentucky Derby.

The Kentucky Derby is an extremely difficult race to handicap with such a large field. There are always surprises. So I would probably place a combination of small trifecta and superfecta straight bets. If you want a big payout, throw some longshots in your superfectas that have great jockeys. Hitting a superfecta with this large of field is pure luck. War Story at 30/1 with Mike Smith as his jockey looks to be a good horse to throw into a Superfecta.

Firing Line starts in Gate 10, the winningest post position for the Kentucky Derby so I would him consider for your Superfecta. I may place a win bet of him too since he is 12/1 odds. I also kind of like a 8-18-10 Boxed Trifecta.

Derby Dosage

Gate 1: Ocho Ocho Ocho – 50/1
Gate 2: Carpe Diem – 8/1
Gate 3: Materiality – 12/1
Gate 4: Tencendur – 30/1
Gate 5: Danzig Moon – 30/1
Gate 6: Mubtaahij – 20/1
Gate 7: El Kabeir – 30/1
Gate 8: Dortmund – 3/1
Gate 9: Bolo – 30/1
Gate 10: Firing Line – 12/1
Gate 11: Stanford – 30/1
Gate 12: International Star – 20/1
Gate 13: Itsaknockout – 30/1
Gate 14: Keen Ice – 50/1
Gate 15: Frosted – 15/1
Gate 16: War Story – 50/1
Gate 17: Mr. Z – 50/1
Gate 18: American Pharoah – 5/2
Gate 19: Upstart – 15/1
Gate 20: Far Right – 30/1

Derby Picks 2015 Results

–Michael