• Iowa Democratic Odds Against
• Iowa Democratic Odds 2019
• Iowa Democratic Odds By Age

Iowa Delegate Winner 2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus delegate winner. $3,517,271 bet so far. Iowa's Democratic caucuses on Monday will happen at 1,678 precinct locations, including people's homes, public libraries and school gymnasiums. The odds of that are not very good, but the.

The Iowa Electronic Markets is a futures market run for research and teaching purposes. Traders can buy and sell real-money contracts based on their belief about the outcome of an election or other event. Using this 'wisdom of crowds,' the price of a contract at any given time is a forecast of the outcome.

We estimate that Sanders’s chances of a majority would have shot up to from 31 percent to 58 percent with an Iowa win, Warren’s from 5 percent to 32 percent, and Buttigieg’s from 4 percent to 22. Apr 07, 2020 Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted. FiveThirtyEight’s model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. Under a scenario where Biden loses Iowa, Silver gives Biden only a 20 percent chance of a delegate majority, with Sanders’s odds of becoming the nominee going up to 40 percent.

2022 Congressional Election Markets

2022 U.S. Congressional Election Markets will begin trading Friday, February 26, 2019, at 11:00am CST.

2022 U.S. Congressional Control Market

This is a real-money futures market where contract payoffs will be determined by the outcomes of the 2022 U.S. Congressional elections.

Currently, there are three markets in this set:

• Congress22 -- based on the composition of both houses of Congress
• House22 -- based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives
• Senate22 -- based the composition of the U.S. Senate

Pete Buttigieg is finally starting to make some legitimate noise for the Democratic nomination. Since we began looking at 2020 Presidential election odds, the expectation has always been that Joe Biden would flame out, and somebody from the Buttigieg, Beto O’Rouke, Kamala Harris group would surge.

Biden is slipping, with Elizabeth Warren taking his place as the presumptive nominee. Beto is out. Harris had her moment but couldn’t keep momentum. Now Mayor Pete has found his second wind. Polling suggests he could be positioned for bigger things.

Pete Buttigieg’s Iowa Surge

Across almost all meaningful polls, Buttigieg is a close second behind Warren in Iowa. Why is this important? The Iowa caucus kicks off the Democratic primary season. Taking place on Feb. 3, it comes a full eight days before the New Hampshire primary. A strong performance in Iowa leads to positive press and polling bumps.

It also typically leads to an increase in campaign contributions. Those funds are driven into ad spots in upcoming primary states.

Iowa Democratic Odds Against

Iowa has shown a progressive side in candidate preference as well. While Buttigieg is still in the murky middle of fleshing out his platform, he’d be viewed as a progressive choice both personally and politically.

History of Iowa Caucus in selecting Democratic nominee

Iowa’s recent history bodes well for Democratic hopefuls. Every winner of the Iowa caucus since 1996 has gone on to win the nomination. Even those who didn’t saw uptick to their campaign.

For example, in 2016 Bernie Sanders‘ Iowa finish (at 49.6% of the vote) cemented his status as a legitimate threat to eventual nominee Hillary Clinton (at 49.8%).

Barack Obama stole front-runner status from Hillary Clinton with his Iowa win in 2008.

John Kerry (2004) and Al Gore (2000) also used Iowa as the springboard for their eventual nomination.

Iowa Democratic Odds 2019

Pete Buttigieg election odds

Mayor Pete’s 2020 election winner odds are not as long as they once were just weeks ago. Most major operators have him around +1100 to +1200. Weeks ago he was in the +1600 to +2000 range.

Iowa Democratic Odds By Age

Sites like Smarkets have him as the fourth overall favorite, trailing Trump-Warren-Biden but even with Sanders.